Pages

We have MOVED. Find us at our new, nicer home at motorindustry.org

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Reasons why VW purchased Italdesign-Giugiaro




Design will always appear as the top 5 reasons determining people's decision on vehicle purchase, and depending on which company or consultancy you speak to, the exact ranking may differ but it rarely drops below the top-5. Design speaks for itself. Other elements like reliability and quality are very perception driven.

The general public is not trained to measure quality objectively other than by randomly feeling their hands across the door trim and dashboard like it's going to tell them anything useful. The public generally assumes that a Mazda, by virtue of it being Japanese, is naturally made to a higher quality than a Ford. Nevermind the fact that on this side of the world, many Mazda and Ford models roll off the same Auto Alliance Thailand plant in Rayong, Thailand and Changan-Ford-Mazda's JV plant in China, and are made by the same group of people, with the same tools and same mechanical parts. Americans perceive the Toyota Voltz to be of a higher quality than GM's own Pontiac Vibe, never mind the fact that both are made by the same people at the NUMMI plant.

It costs a lot of marketing money to change people's perception. So the fastest and most effective way to change people's perception, to make them sit up and take notice of you is via design. Many know this but few can execute it right. Kia hired Peter Schreyer to get people to buy a Kia because they want one and not because it's cheap but horrible and they have little choice, BMW hired Chris Bangle to push the brand into 21st century, Mazda got Laurens van den Acker to break the small Japanese company away from being bogged down with fighting the big Japanese boys of Toyota, Honda and Nissan on their terms, Henrik Fisker did for Aston Martin what Walter da Silvia did for Audi - brands with a rich history but are also trapped in the history books.


10 years ago VW had a staid and boring image. Then came the Scirocco and the world went mad. Even Toyota's boss Akio Toyoda acknowledge the Scirocco's all round appeal. To push the company to meet its target of overtaking Toyota by 2018, VW company can't continue doing what is doing now and attract the same group of people to buy its cars. It needs to appeal to more / different groups of people. And what better to do this than by buying to the only surviving independent design house with a relatively healthy balance sheet. Pininfarina has filed for bankruptcy and Bertone's coachbuilding arm Carrozzeria Bertone is on an emergency loan lifeline from its creditors and is being restructured. Karmann has since gone under. Ghia is long dead after the disastrous take over by Ford and is the Ghia brand is now nothing but a name for a variant / trim line package.

So why did VW purchased Giugiaro, since the trend of contracting independent design houses is on a down trend with many manufacturers now choosing to do all the design work in-house?

Domestic Chinese companies, have improved rapidly over the last 5 years. VW traditionally holds top spot in the Chinese market but in recent years VW have seen its market share gradually decline, particularly in the small-compact car segment, in tandem with rising competitiveness of domestic Chinese brands like Chery, Geely, Chang'an and BYD. Chinese car makers are not blind or deaf to criticisms. They too, know that design is important but unlike Western car makers, they do not have the capability nor the facilities to do complex designs in-house. Thus, Chinese car companies are now the biggest clients of independent design houses. In fact, over the last 5-years with the reduction of contract work from Western car makers, it is Chinese car companies who kept many of these design houses afloat. When Bertone loss the Chery contract in 2006, Bertone went into a negative spiral that it never quite recovered. Chery took its money to Torino Design when Bertone's former boss, Roberto Piatti, with a lot of Bertone family politics playing behind the scene, decided to pack up and start his own design house. Chery followed him.

Do not undersestimate the Chinese domestic brands. Though who laugh at them now will do so at their own peril. This was not my opinion but that of a German executive I spoke to. He even added the Chinese are extremely brilliant and has no doubt that its only a matter of time before they become a leading car producer.

VW cannot realistically hope to maintain the same level of market share lead as now with more stronger competition in China, now its largest single market. It has to me better strategic moves. Part of the clause in VW's purchase of Italdesign-Giugiaro (IDG) is that IDG will work exclusively for VW. In other words it means, Chinese companies will have to go elsewhere. There are less than 5 top class design houses and a lot more domestic Chinese brands clamoring to have their services. But this does not necessarily play into design house's favour. Companies will hesitate in contracting a particular house if it knows a direct competitor is working closely with them.


Even now, BMW do have some concerns as they have existing projects with IDG. Two Chinese car makers, Brilliance and Chery are also existing IDG clients who will have to go elsewhere. When you consider the fact that BMW is the largest luxury brand in the world and is in direct competition with VW's own Audi brand's intention of becoming the top luxury car brand, and that Brilliance and Chery both produce cars that are in direct competition with VW in China - it all starts to make sense.

We are seeing the twilight years of independent Italian design houses - whose reputation peaked in the 60s. It's a demise caused primarily by two factors - the decline of Italy as a cultural / fashion capital of the world and the change in manufacturing and product development processes and crash safety regulations which in the opinion of car manufacturers, it now makes a lot more sense do all the design work in-house.

Since the late 90s, car makers have been opening their own design centres in London and California, as a reflection of the rising status these two cities. California is truly a melting pot of the world's talents and culture. The dot com boom fueled influx of talent from Asia in Silicon Valley and San Jose area. London rose in tandem with New York as the world's top financial hub, again fueled by influx of young skilled workers from all over the world at a time when investment banking and finance along with technology industries attracted the best brains. They were truly globalized and multi-racial in nature and is more in tune with the time. The most famous design center in California is probably Toyota's Calty. BMW runs 3 offices in California, which the company calls it the California Innovation Triangle (CIT) - the Technology Office in Palo Alto, Designworks in Newbury Park, and the Engineering and Emission Test Center in Oxnard. Nissan runs Nissan Design European in London in the multi-cultural Paddington Basin.

The history of independent design houses can be traced back to pre-World War 1 days. In those days buying a car was a complex process. You don't just pop into a showroom and there are no financing packages. Only the rich had the money and the contacts to place an order to the factory, who then delivers a rolling chassis. Like in the image below.


The main visual difference for the rolling chassis is the radiator grille. This explains why many car brands with a rich history - like Rolls Royce, Mercedes-Benz, Bentley and Aston Martin all still maintain the practise of having an unmistakable grille design.


The owner will then have to arrange to have the rolling chassis transported to a coachbuilder, or as the Italians call it "carozzeria" who design and fabricate a body, customized to the owner's taste to fit over the rolling chassis. The owner can choose to specify what body type he wants - a roadster, drophead, landaulet, sedan, phaeton, tourer, streamliner etc etc. This is why in identifying pre-WW1 cars, you can't really depend on the exterior design alone, and is so difficult unless you are an expert connoisseur or a familiar face in Pebble Beach and the Goodwood. If those two names don't ring a bell to you, then you will obviously be lost in the classic car community. Even for an automotive history buff like myself, I still find it hard to identify those Fraser-Nash to Delahaye and the many different iterations of Ferraris bodied by Zagato and other coach builders.



A 1933 Rolls-Royce Phantom II, bodied by Hooper & Co. in sports coupe body.

These coach builders started their trade in the days of horse carriages. When motorization took over Europe, they adapted their trade from making carriages pulled by horse to also build "horseless carriages." Then came Henry Ford and his Ford Model T, and the rest is history.

IDG have done a lot of projects for VW previously, as well as for its Lamborghini sub-brand. The W12 Roadster Concept, the original Mk1 Golf, the original Scirocco, the original Passat. The ill-fated "baby Lambo" - the Lamborghini Cala was also penned by IDG.

But the most interesting IDG VW project of all is the 1970 Concept Volkswagen Porsche Tapiro, based on a Porsche 914/6, which was itself the result of a joint VW-Porsche project that unfortunately was a commercial failure, partly due to company politics following a change in management at Porsche. See how the VW-Porsche merger have always been in the mind of Ferdinand Piech way back in 1970. And wow look at those 70s women!


Tuesday, May 25, 2010

Nissan to release Vios / City fighter in 2011, compact-MPV by 2012





Nissan recently announced its 2009 fiscal year financial results on May-12. One slide that captured my attention was slide No.6, on Nissan's Global Compact Car, or sometimes referred to as the V-platform. We have already seen the first iteration of Nissan's Global Compact Car - the new March. Nissan also revealed that the V-platform can also accomodate a sedan (codenamed L02B) and a MPV codenamed W02C), but gave little details.




But in the latest fiscal year financial report, Nissan revealed that an "affordable sedan" is one of the company's 8 all-new product launches. Nissan expects to launch the new "affordable sedan" by the end of 2010 fiscal year, which means by March 2011, the last month of the Japanese financial year.

The affordable sedan is expected to challenge the current dominance of Toyota Vios (Yaris sedan in USA) and Honda City, which is recently joined by the Ford Fiesta sedan and Mazda2 sedan. But unlike the City, the L02B sedan is rumoured to join the Fiesta sedan in the USA.

Like the March, the L02B will be powered by a 1.2-litre 3-cylinder engine. In supercharged form the engine produces 98PS and 142Nm of torque, mated to a XTronic CVT transmission made by Jatco, a Nissan affliated transmission specialist and largest supplier of CVT transmissions in the world. Power figures is a little bit down compared to other B-segment competitors like Vios and City but its torque figures, which in layman terms is understood as pulling power and is really the figure that matters in real world driving, matches that of the competition. Plus it boasts of superior fuel economy and lower exhaust emission at only 95g/km. It may not mean much to ASEAN region but it makes a lot of difference in other markets where vehicles are taxed based on the exhaust emission ratings as well.

The L02B will be built alongside the March in Thailand, as well as China and India.


The W02C MPV however, will be launched by 2012 but is more of a crossover than an actual full size MPV. Think Perodua Alza rather than a Proton Exora, in the similar price bracket and you get the picture. It will slot beneath the full 7-seater Nissan Grand Livina. Power will come from a petrol 1.5-litre engine, the HR15DE that also powers the Japanese market Tiida (Latio). However a 1.5-litre diesel is expected to produce the highest power. Though it is not expected to be sold in ASEAN region but is a likely candidate for India.

Nissan currently sells a smaller 5-seater version of the Grand Livina, called Livina (the prefix "Grand" dropped) in Indonesia and China. So it is a bit hard to predict Nissan's plan for the Indonesian / Chinese market. Although the Indonesian market does not respond very well to passenger car based MPVs, given the poor road conditions. Which is why truck frame based Toyota's Kijang Innovas and Avanzas (semi-monocoque) still reign supreme there.

The B-segment is one of the largest growing car segment in the world, driven by developing markets of South East Asia, China, India and even Brazil. Both sedan and hatchback B-segment models account for over 20% of the world's automotive total industry volume (TIV). At the moment, segment is dominated by Suzuki (India) and domestic Chinese brands (China) and Toyota and Honda (ASEAN). Nissan's boss Carlos Ghosn reckons that Nissan is under represented in this burgeoning segment, hence the creation of the Global Compact V-platform.

The V-platform team is headed by one Vincent Cobee, who is the Corporate VP and Program Director for V-platform, Noritaka Tsuru was the former chief engineer for V-platform but now serves as GM of vehicle project purchasing. Tsuru-san's previous engineering inputs includes the S13 Silvia, R32 Skyline, Terrano-II and Pathfinder. Keno Kato is the segment's product specialist, was previously overseeing product planning for X-Trail, March / Micra, Tiida / Versa / Latio, and Note.

Related link : Renault-Nissan-Daimler alliance - the real motivating factor

Friday, May 21, 2010

BMW 5-series hybrid. More than meets the eye.





You would've already know that BMW will be fast tracking development of the hybrid 5-series and 3-series to bring them into production as early as next year (5-series). Production of the hybrid 3-series is expected to follow soon.

Some motivating factor behind BMW's move and their implications :
Like many other luxury car maker, BMW is particularly vulnerable to the new European Union fleet emission cap. BMW's average fleet CO2 emission was 150g per km in 2009, down from 156g per km in 2008. With the 3-series being their volume seller, BMW cannot realistically reduce their fleet wide average to the EU target of 130g per km by 2012, unless BMW sells substantially more lower emission cars, and here is where the future sub 1-series FWD BMW model and the MINI comes in, plus of course the 3-series hybrid.

But BMW have always been a champion of clean diesel technology, looking at hybrids with a very sceptical view but at the same time knows that hybridization may be trend that BMW, irrespective of whether the company agrees to the hybrid solution or not, cannot afford to ignore.

I once spoke to a Japanese dealer of a European premium brand and we were talking about the failure of Lexus to capture the lead in the Japanese premium market despite its success in America and certain parts of Asia. He went on to explain that VW is the top import brand in Japan, with BMW and Mercedes following behind. Lexus have quite a bit of catch up to do and has so far failed to capture the emotional attribute of affluent Japanese buyers, who have a strong desire for European imports. However he cautioned that the days of German brands leading the Japanese market premium segment may be numbered unless the Germans act fast to introduce a hybrid. Ever since introduction of significant tax breaks to promote hybrids, sales of Lexus hybrids have shot up rapidly. In 2009, total sales of hybrid vehicles in Japan tripled that of 2008.


In Japan, besides having to purchase a "parking spot license" to register a new car, there is also an automobile registration tax which is about 5% of the car's value and another "weight tax." Buyers of hybrid cars are exempted from the last 2 items (kei cars are exempted completely of all 3 tax elements).

Dealers of European premium brands in Japan are hurting from the loss of sales as many potential customers now choose a Lexus hybrid over a BMW or Mercedes or an Audi. Japan is currently the second largest luxury car market after China, followed behind by South Korea and Taiwan. So obviously this has very serious implications to BMW. Every German car maker, not just BMW feels the impact to what they see as an unfair scheme, with the sole beneficiary being only Toyota's Lexus. Again, this reminds us of a recent post regarding Toyota's influence in Japanese politics and how the company wields strong influence via a powerful industry lobby group to have policies made favourable to Toyota. But this is the right of the government and there is no way one can prove conclusively that this is an anti-competitive / protectionist move.


This problem is not only confined to Japan. In Thailand aka the Toyota Kingdom of Siam, BMW and Mercedes (as well as Ford) have complained that the tax breaks laid for the Camry Hybrid is clearly unfair against them. Mercedes have been selling a more economical and cleaner bi-fuel E200 NGT before the Camry Hybrid while neither Mercedes or BMW's highly economical clean diesel models enjoy any preferential tariff. Toyota can even afford to snub environmental concerns by not even bothering to tune the Camry Hybrid's engine to be E20 compatible, and decides the forgo the additional E20 compatible vehicle tax break. Possibly out of concern that if the price drops too low it would position the Camry Hybrid too close to the regular Camry models and too far away to snatch sales from the BMW 3-series and Mercedes C-class

A similar trend is also playing out in China, currently the world's largest market.

But there is no point making any further noises as the German government don't get too involved with businesses of German companies due to very strict conflict of interest and transparency regulations within the EU. So they are on their own.

The other reason is however less political - it seems that we are close to reaching a stage where clean diesels, which are so popular in Western Europe, accounting for more than 60% of all passenger cars sold are no longer economical to run / produce. At the current Euro5 and future Euro6 (effective 2014), diesel engines require significant redevelopment to keep them road legal in Europe. Already there is a need to add diesel particulate filters (DPF) and selective catalytic reduction (SCR) systems into diesel engines to keep them emission legal. Diesel engines, by nature of their compression ignition require a stronger engine block and are more costly to build. But owners recoup this additional cost back from the greater fuel economy. However, with rising demand from diesel machineries and farm equipments, especially from China and India, the price gap between petrol and diesel fuel have narrowed substantially in recent times, sometimes even exceeding that of petrol. A diesel car owner will now have to drive substantially further distance before recouping the higher price of a diesel engine model.


With DPF and SCR (with also require regular maintenance of the urea tank), engine production and maintenance cost (additional inspections required) are also increased. Engine computer software have to be written to ensure the systems are properly monitored and working. To comply to EU6, some car makers may even have to include engine start-stop functions.

Coupled this with the fact that very few governments outside of Europe are promoting clean diesels, the business case for clean diesels is becoming less attractive compared to a hybrid.

Related link : The great powertrain debate - diesel vs hybrid

Thursday, May 20, 2010

Proton Exora Ad - Spelling Fail




Spelling FAIL!

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

2011 Suzuki Swift Full Model Change. Splash is coming too?



Update : Official pictures have been posted here.



We have already seen spy shots of pre-production Swifts hammering the Nurburgring Northern Loop circuit started appearing on the internet in late 2009. The latest news that we learned is the the all new 2011 Swift Full Model Change will be unveiled to the European press by July 2010, while a formal public premiere will be held in September 2010 at the upcoming Paris International Motor Show.

The shots below should be for the Swift Sport - if the fact that these cars are being hammered around The Ring needs any further explanation. Note the sportier wheels, low profile tires and brushed aluminium ala "Audi RS line" wing mirrors and a deeper front air dam.




Sales of the new Swift will only begin by first quarter of 2011. The 2011 Swift will maintain the familiar silhouette but will now spot a Kizashi style grille, which will be the new corporate face of Suzuki passenger cars. Oversized headlamps and taillamps (with the same swept back style) will also be the key design elements.

No further information on powertrain but the same engine 1.5-litre capacity for the regular Swift and a 1.6-litre for the Swift Sport is expected to remain. Japanese market models will continue to receive AWD option and a smaller 1.3-litre engine. Export to the USA is said to be in the plans as Suzuki plans to revive its US operations, first with the Kizashi mid-size sedan. The new Swift will join the small car hype in the US together with the Ford Fiesta, Mazda2 and domestic GM's own redesigned Aveo.


A hybrid option is rumoured but is not likely to make it into production within the same model generation. The business case for small hybrid cars is yet to be proven. However, this did not stop Suzuki from wowing the public with the Swift Plug-in Concept, jointly developed with battery partner Sanyo. As you might already know, Sanyo is also the battery partner for Volkswagen, and if you remember, VW recently acquired 20% stake in Suzuki.



Some further interesting news, it looks like the ASEAN market will get the Splash by 2012. In 1.3-litre guise, the Suzuki Splash will sit right below the Swift and above the 1.0-litre Indian developed Suzuki Alto. It will be made in Suzuki's new plant in Rayong, Thailand, built at a cost of 20 billion Japanese Yen.

Another sibling of the Swift, the SX4 will also received a full model change redesign by 2012.

Related link :
Official photos of 2011 Swift
Suzuki Turns 100

Monday, May 17, 2010

A Very Expensive Chinese Wedding




You ain't seen no fairy tale weddings until you see weddings of rich Asians! Below is apparently the wedding motorcade of a Chinese celebrity - a certain Chinese actress named Liu Tao. The photos below are all for the SAME wedding.

Lamborghini Gallardo LP560-4





Ferrari F430 - poor man's version.


Ferrari F430 Spider - richer man's version.




Rolls Royce Phantom - the most expensive production car in the world


Only poor peasants have one Phantom.


Bentley Flying Spur - the fastest production four door saloon in the world.


Audi A8. In the largest car market in the world, the top mainstream luxury car brand is not a Mercedes or a BMW but an Audi.


Rolls Royce Phantom Drophead.



Ferrari 575M (lead car)


Ferrari 360 Spider



Range Rovers on the left, Porsche Cayennes on the right.


The motorcade.




The people.








More on Liu Tao's wedding here and here.

Apparently she is married to the son of a Chinese mining tycoon magnate. If it's true, this only serves to further highlight great divide between the have and have-nots in China. Each year thousands of miners die in mining accidents due to lax safety regulation, but in a country of 1.2 billion people. many of whom are poor, hungry and are willing to work on almost anything for a penny, losing a couple of thousand lives each year is a small cost.

The most expensive wedding in history (apparently) is that of Vanisha Mittal, Forbes magazine's No.1 Billionaire Heiress and daugher of Indian steel magnate and one of the richest man in the world Lakshmi Mittal. It was estimated that Lakshmi Mittal paid USD 60 million dollars for her daughter's 5-day wedding celebration in a 17th-century French chateau, Vaux le Vicomte in Paris.

To put things into perspective, Forbes magazine listed the most expensive celebrity wedding was USD 3.5 million - the wedding of Liza Minnelli & David Gest. The couple divorced the next year. In fact, 40 percent of the weddings listed in Forbes ultimately end up in divorce.



But this is no Channel-E! blog, this is an automotive industry focused blog. So we have to link it back to the industry.

Not long ago I had dinner with a former director of a German manufacturer's operations in China. At that time, the Beijing Motor Show had just concluded, where the VW Group's Audi brand presented the Audi A8L to the world. Within 5-days of the Beijing Motor Show, 87,000 orders were collected for the 6.3-litre W12 engine powered Audi limousine. 87,000 orders in 5 days! And this was despite the fact that the official price have not been announced by Audi and the display at Beijing was only a "preview."

Rolls-Royce had to upgrade its facility in GoodWood, UK to accommodate an additional production line - specifically to meet the orders from China. To date, the most expensive Rolls-Royce ever built was sold to a Chinese buyer for USD 2.3 million, who then decided to leave the car in the Rolls-Royce showroom, simply to have a kick of seeing his name written on the "Sold to" sticker

So this German chap was saying about the Chinese mentality of wanting to own the biggest and the most expensive of everything. Whether is it boats, planes or cars. That it's just crazy to see the way rich Chinese buys things. If it is not the best and the most expensive, they won't have any of it. Not that he is complaining of course, judging by the sheer number of cars his company sells in China. Like any business operations, they are merely meeting the needs / demands of their customers. But when he switches back from his "company manager" hat to his "regular car nut guy" hat, he does frown at the ostentatious display of wealth. Back in Germany where he comes from, people pay extra to have the badges on their cars removed. There is a "badge deletion" option for many cars in Germany, and customers actually choose to pay more to hide the fact that they are driving a far more powerful higher end model variant. The practice started way back in the 1960s (I think) with the first European "sleeper" Q-car - the W109 Mercedes-Benz 300SEL 6.3 V8. Aside from the discrete looking 6.3 badge at the boot lid, there was very little clue of the corrupting power that hides underneath the conservative looking sedan that looks more like your grandfather's Mercedes. But buyers wanted the 6.3 specifically for its huge power hidden under an unassuming look. A majority of the German buyers opted the "badge deletion" option and received the cars with the 6.3 badge inside the car's glovebox instead.



He further added in Europe or America or any of the other developed markets - luxury car brands are selling a lifestyle, a dream. But in China, and certain parts of Asia - they are selling status. Purchase of high end luxury car is a membership to an elite club of the rich and famous. Of course this is not to say that perceived brand status don't play any role in luxury automotive marketing in Europe, but the difference is that in China, the "automotive hierarchy" is a lot more obvious than in anywhere in else in the world. There is a very clear line between what level of managers drive what sort of cars.

It is only in China that customers demand for a long wheel base version of their mid-range luxury sedans. In Europe, most of the rich prefer to do the driving themselves. Chauffers are for company presidents and politicians. But being chauffeur driven is seen as a status symbol to the Chinese. Hence the demand for long wheel base Audi A6L, BMW 5-series LWB, Mercedes E-class LWB and even a Volvo S80L.

He ended the conversation saying that personally for him, in his opinion, he wants a fast car not because he wants other people to be jealous of him or look at him with greater respect, but simply because he loves the car. And if there are other people who notices his car, it should be because they share a similar interest and values the car for what it is in the same way as him. And that sense of appreciation only by a select group of individuals is what makes it so special. It should not be because of the price tag for the car.

But then again, the whole point of sleeper cars (as the Americans call it) / Q-cars (as the Brits call it) seems to be slowly getting lost in this age. Just look at the current offerings for Audi RS line, BMW's M models and Mercedes AMG models - all of them are shouty cars that scream "look at me". Contrast this to the earlier generation M, AMG and RS-line models, a time when enthusiasts were happy to play "spot the real from the fake" every time one of these models pass by. You've got to look at all the subtle hints to find out if this is the real deal E39 M5 or some fake replica replica built of an entry level 520i. At the other extreme end, you might come across a real M5 owner who swapped his M5 badge with that of a 520i to further confuse observers.

Societal trends is constantly changing, and aside from the fashion world, people's changing attitude are no better reflected that in car designs. Today's consumers are more brand and status driven than ever before. Consumers, whenever they buy something expensive, they want it made known to the rest of the world that they paid big money for it. Thus, car companies are always competing to do a one-up with one another to get consumer's attention. Mine have to be louder than yours, and the one before.

Related link : China automotive market related posts.